speculation


speculation (http://definr.com/speculation)

     n 1: a message expressing an opinion based on incomplete evidence
          [syn: guess, conjecture, supposition, surmise, surmisal,
           hypothesis]
     2: a hypothesis that has been formed by speculating or
        conjecturing (usually with little hard evidence);
        "speculations about the outcome of the election"; "he
        dismissed it as mere conjecture" [syn: conjecture]
     3: an investment that is very risky but could yield great
        profits; "he knew the stock was a speculation when he
        bought it" [syn: venture]